FORECAST DETAILS

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What we forecast, why, how we will check it, and what is being reported nearby.

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LAST UPDATED—
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The forecast

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Hazard
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Place
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Description
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Last updated
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Forecast period
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Kind of forecast
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Severity
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Advance notice
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Confidence
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Evidence behind this forecast
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How it will be checked
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Forecast ID
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How it starts
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How long it lasts
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How much warning there is
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How severity is judged
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Why this forecast period
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How this forecast works

1. What started this

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2. How it could develop

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3. Who and what is at risk

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4. How it will be checked

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What we will check

How we check forecasts →

Each line is one thing we check this forecast against. Each stays open until the forecast period ends. None of them says that the event happened.

Inside the locked forecast period——
Inside the forecast area——
Hazard reported——
Serious harm to people or placesWe never predict deaths, injuries or damage, so we do not assume any. We fill this in only from what others report.Not assumed
Official reports nearby—Checking…

Official reports near the forecast area

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